A change in Federal Reserve leadership shifts the central narrative for markets away from an earnings only story toward policy choices that will govern liquidity and rates. The new chair brings a different emphasis on the interaction between rate moves and balance sheet management. Market participants should expect a more nuanced policy message where easing in rates could be offset, in part, by deliberate reductions in the central bank balance sheet. The net effect may be a muted tailwind for risk assets relative to a classic easing cycle.
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