Front end Treasury volatility should rise between next week's CPI and PPI releases and the FOMC meeting the week after

3:42 PM

Markets are pricing the recent job gain as a threat to Fed cuts rather than as a pure growth signal, shifting positioning in short duration assets

2:42 PM

Closed •••• after the setup finished its current cycle, booking profit 📈

2:06 PM

August CPI and PPI next week are the decisive inputs before the FOMC the following week and will materially recalibrate market rate expectations

1:32 PM

Closed •••• after the setup completed its current trade cycle, booking profit 🔔

1:16 PM

The U.S. jobs report's 162,000 gain jolted short term Treasury yields, reintroducing near term Fed tightening fears and trimming rate cut odds

12:28 PM

Reports the Strait of Hormuz is closed mean oil supply disruption is now the immediate transmission channel from the Iran conflict to global growth

11:38 AM

U.S. economic pressure on Iran, with the EU joining, turns geopolitical risk into an economic squeeze that should tighten energy related risk premia

10:42 AM

Closed out •••• as the trade cycle finished, booking profit 🎯

10:16 AM

Wrapped the •••• trade after the setup completed, booking profit 🎯

10:01 AM

New newsletter subscriber joined 📬

9:22 AM

Elastic (ESTC)

August 30, 2026

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2 min read

A recent major acquisition in the open source model ecosystem has refocused attention on companies that support AI development infrastructure. Market participants are evaluating adjacent businesses that enable model deployment and operationalization. Elastic emerges in that discussion because of the specific function it serves in the data layer of AI applications.

Trade Setup

Ticker ESTC

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Target 1

Progress

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